Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Jordan host Venezuela in a friendly on Tuesday, October 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model points towards Venezuela, with the teams’ recent results providing a mixed backdrop to the forecast.
What the model expects
The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Venezuela win (55.1%), then a draw (23.6%), then a Jordan win (21.3%). These probabilities are estimates; the model’s lean is Venezuela to win.
Its expected-goals figures are Jordan 1 and Venezuela 2. The model gives over 2.5 goals at 57.7% and under 2.5 goals at 42.3% on the total, and both teams scoring 54.7%; at least one side failing to score is put at 45.3%.
The leading exact-score possibilities are 1-1 at 10%, 0-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.6%. Those are the model’s most likely scorelines, alongside its broader result and goal forecasts.
Form and standings
Jordan come into the fixture after a 1-1 home draw with Syria on September 27. Their sequence is DLLDD: 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 11 conceded. They are without a win in their last 5.
Venezuela most recently had a 2-1 away defeat to Japan on September 28. Their form reads LWLLW, comprising 2 wins and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. The model’s forecast points to Venezuela, while their recent results include both wins and defeats.