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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

Research workspace

Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht: Match Analysis & Model Review

Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 22: how the goals came and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Anderlecht beat Jagiellonia 0-3 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22, with a 3-0 win for Anderlecht over Jagiellonia. At Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Anderlecht scored before the interval and added to their lead after the break; Jagiellonia finished without a goal.

The half-time score was 0-1, and only Anderlecht ever led. Anderlecht’s advantage grew to a three-goal lead at 0-3, completing a result that differed from the model’s pre-match most likely outcome. The scoreline tells a clear story: Anderlecht found the net in both halves, while Jagiellonia did not score. The decisive moments came at separate points in the match, with Anderlecht’s lead first established before the break and then extended late on.

How it unfolded

Mihajlo Cvetkovic opened the scoring for Anderlecht in the 21st minute, making it 0-1. Anderlecht carried that advantage into the interval, with Jagiellonia unable to find an equaliser before the break. That early goal gave the match its first lead, and only Anderlecht ever led.

Marten Winkler extended Anderlecht’s lead in the 72nd minute, changing the score to 0-2. Jayden Onia-Seke added another in the 80th minute to make it 0-3; those goals secured a three-goal lead for Anderlecht and set the final margin. The late goals turned an advantage into a decisive scoreline, with Jagiellonia still unable to reply.

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The numbers

Jagiellonia scored no goals; Anderlecht scored three goals, for three goals overall. The scoring record captures a match in which only Anderlecht found the net, and their goals arrived across both halves rather than being confined to one period. The progression from the opening goal to the final score also reflects the growing margin established by Anderlecht.

M. Winkler was Anderlecht’s best-rated player, receiving 8.1 with 1 goal. Jagiellonia’s highest-rated player was S. Abramowicz, rated 6.6. The ratings identify the top performer for each side, while the scoreline records the difference in their teams’ goal returns.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, the model gave Jagiellonia a 45.3% chance of winning, a draw 25.3%, and an Anderlecht win 29.4%. These probabilities are estimates. Jagiellonia to win was the model’s most likely outcome, but the match ended with a win for Anderlecht.

The model assigned the actual result 29.4%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome. Its pre-match view therefore pointed towards a Jagiellonia win, while the goals and final score went Anderlecht’s way.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht

Thu, Oct 22 · 3:00 PM ET · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–1

  • 21'Mihajlo Cvetkovic0–1
  • 72'Marten Winkler0–2
  • 80'Jayden Onia-Seke0–3

The model before the game

Jagiellonia
45.3%
Draw
25.3%
Anderlecht
29.4%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

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