Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday, October 4, with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model makes a Tampa Bay Buccaneers win its likelier result, with projected scoring of 26.6 for Tampa Bay and 21.4 for Green Bay.
What the model expects
The model gives the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 70.1% chance to win and the Green Bay Packers a 29.9% chance. These probabilities are estimates, not certainties. The projected total is 48, with a projected margin of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 5.2 points.
Records and recent results
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 0-3 overall this season, with 62 points scored and 79 allowed in 3 games. The Green Bay Packers are 1-2 overall, with 56 points scored and 91 allowed in 3 games; the Green Bay Packers have the better record.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost 23-16 at home to the Minnesota Vikings on September 27, and before that lost 23-19 at home to the Cleveland Browns on September 20. The Green Bay Packers lost 35-14 at home to the Atlanta Falcons on September 24, and before that beat the New York Jets 20-17 on the road on September 20.