Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
Today

Football

WeekPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsCard BuilderMy TrackerResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsMarket ScanPlayersCompetitions

Reading the numbers

What each number means, and whose it is.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Preview · Major League Soccer

Research workspace

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction & Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14. Goalorithm's model makes FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 51%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Preview

Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Preview

FC Cincinnati host New England Revolution in Major League Soccer on Wednesday, October 14, with kick-off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The model makes Cincinnati the likeliest winner, while the teams arrive off contrasting results: Cincinnati won away at Atlanta United FC, and New England lost at home to Seattle Sounders.

What the model expects

The model’s probabilities are estimates. Its likeliest result is an FC Cincinnati win; its full ordering is an FC Cincinnati win (50.6%), then a New England Revolution win (27.9%), then a draw (21.5%). The model also gives an over 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73.5% and under 2.5 goals at 26.5%. Both teams to score is put at 71.9%, while the chance that at least one side fails to score is 28.1%.

Expected goals stand at 2.2 for Cincinnati and 1.7 for New England. The likeliest exact score is 1-1 (8.4%), followed by 2-1 (8%) and 2-2 (6.7%). The model’s overall view points to a game with scoring potential, while its leading scoreline is level; those projections leave room for more than one shape to the result.

The bookmakers’ outcome ordering is an FC Cincinnati win (57.1%), then a New England Revolution win (22.1%), then a draw (20.8%). On the match result, the model gives an FC Cincinnati win 50.6%, below the bookmakers' 57.1%.

Form and standings

Cincinnati’s recent sequence is WLDDL, amounting to 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their latest result was a 3-1 away win against Atlanta United FC on October 10. The win offers a positive note after a run that also includes draws and defeats, but the goals conceded across that stretch give the visitors reason to expect opportunities.

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction & Preview (October 14)

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14. Goalorithm's model makes Toronto FC win the most likely result at 38%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Prediction & Preview (October 14)

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14. Goalorithm's model makes Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 44%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET

Week
Predictions
My Tracker

New England’s sequence is LLWWW: 3 wins and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their latest outing was a 3-0 home defeat to Seattle Sounders on October 10, and the team comes into this fixture after 2 defeats in a row. The recent loss interrupts a sequence that had included wins, so the visitors have both a response to make and earlier results to draw on.

New England Revolution sit above FC Cincinnati. Cincinnati are 9th in Eastern Conference with 36 points from 27 games, while New England are 4th in Eastern Conference with 46 points from 28 games. The table positions add context to a meeting between teams whose immediate form tells different stories: Cincinnati have just won, while New England’s latest result was a defeat.

Team news

Cincinnati’s reported absentees and doubts are M. Robinson (doubtful, injury), O. Nwobodo (doubtful, injury), Evander (leg injury), E. Echenique (inactive), K. Denkey (international duty) and A. Chirila (international duty). New England’s list is L. Campana (doubtful, hamstring injury), A. Yusuf (muscle injury), J. Harrison (lower-body injury), M. Fofana (lower-body injury), D. Turgeman (international duty) and B. Raines (international duty). Line-ups have not been announced, so the availability picture remains subject to confirmation; the listed concerns are relevant context, but do not establish who will start or how either side will set up.

Head to head

Across the last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3, New England Revolution won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent meeting was New England Revolution 6-1 FC Cincinnati (March 2026). That result is a striking recent reference point, though the wider run of meetings is more balanced; the head-to-head record alone does not settle what to expect in this fixture.

What to watch

The central question is whether Cincinnati can turn their latest away win into another positive result against a New England side whose current run is 2 defeats in a row. The model’s goal projections make scoring a prominent part of the forecast, but its top exact-score outcome is 1-1; the broader probabilities leave the result open to a different scoreline.

Cincinnati’s recent record includes 9 goals scored and 14 conceded, while New England’s includes 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. Those figures frame a contest where both sides’ capacity to score and their recent concessions matter. The model’s view gives Cincinnati the lead in the outcome ordering, but its expected-goals projection for New England also points to a meaningful attacking contribution.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati

Goalorithm's model

FC Cincinnati
50.6%
Draw
21.5%
New England Revolution
27.9%
Over 2.5 goals
73.5%
Both teams score
71.9%

Likeliest scores

  • 1–1 8.4%
  • 2–1 8%
  • 2–2 6.7%

Bookmakers, margin removed

FC Cincinnati 57.1% · Draw 20.8% · New England Revolution 22.1%

Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Major League Soccer

DC United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Preview (October 14)

DC United vs New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer, Wednesday, October 14. Goalorithm's model makes DC United win the most likely result at 44%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Wed, Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· UEFA Champions League

Real Betis vs FC Porto Prediction & Preview (October 14)

Real Betis vs FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League, Wednesday, October 14. Goalorithm's model makes Real Betis win the most likely result at 49%. The table, team news and the likeliest scores.

Wed, Oct 14 · 3:00 PM ET