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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

El Salvador 0-2 Jamaica: Match Analysis & Model Review

El Salvador 0-2 Jamaica in the CONCACAF Nations League, Friday, October 2: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Jamaica beat El Salvador 0-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League on Friday, October 2, with Javon East scoring both goals. The result was a 2-0 win for Jamaica over El Salvador; Jamaica were already ahead at half-time, 0-1.

The decisive moments came after El Salvador had been reduced to ten men: Rudy clavel was sent off in the 20th minute, before East opened the scoring in the 39th minute. Jamaica added a second after the break, but the numbers do not show a match dominated by shots on target.

How it unfolded

Rudy clavel of El Salvador received a red card in the 20th minute. Jamaica took the lead in the 39th minute, when Javon East made it 0-1. That was the half-time score.

East struck again in the 64th minute, making it 0-2 and completing a brace. Only Jamaica ever led; Jamaica's biggest advantage was a two-goal lead at 0-2. El Salvador finished with no goals, while Jamaica scored two goals, for two goals in all.

The numbers

El Salvador had 53% possession against Jamaica's 47%, but recorded 1 shot to Jamaica's 4. Neither side registered a shot on target: El Salvador had 0, Jamaica 0. The corner count was 1 for El Salvador and 0 for Jamaica.

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Those figures sketch a game in which possession did not translate into a greater shot count for El Salvador. Jamaica produced more attempts, though neither side made the goalkeeper deal with a shot on target. The scoreline, therefore, was settled by the goals East scored rather than a high volume of recorded attempts.

Standout performers

Jamaica's best-rated player was M. Freckleton, rated 9.2 with 1 assist. El Salvador's highest rating went to A. Henriquez, at 6.7. East supplied the scoring contribution that separated the sides, with two goals.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave El Salvador a win probability of 28.3%, a draw 28.5%, and a Jamaica win 43.1%. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Jamaica to win, and it assigned that outcome 43.1%.

The match ended with a 2-0 win for Jamaica over El Salvador, so the model's most likely outcome happened.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador vs Jamaica

Fri, Oct 2 · 10:00 PM ET · Estadio Cuscatlan

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–1

  • 39'Javon East0–1
  • 64'Javon East0–2

The model before the game

El Salvador
28.3%
Draw
28.6%
Jamaica
43.2%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

El SalvadorStatisticJamaica
1shots4
1corners0
53%possession47%
0shots on target0
Open the Match Center

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