Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Duke Blue Devils visit the NC State Wolfpack in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 12:30 p.m. ET. The model's likelier result is a Duke Blue Devils win, and it expects a game with 52.1 points in all.
What the model expects
The model's figures are estimates, not certainties. It gives the NC State Wolfpack 24.7% and the Duke Blue Devils 75.3%. Its projected points are NC State Wolfpack 21.6 and Duke Blue Devils 30.5, with a projected margin of the Duke Blue Devils by 8.9 points.
Records and recent results
The NC State Wolfpack are 4-4 overall this season, with 257 points scored and 207 allowed in 8 games. The Duke Blue Devils are 6-2, with 256 points scored and 114 allowed in 8 games; the Duke Blue Devils have the better record.
The NC State Wolfpack beat the California Golden Bears 31-10 at home on October 31, and before that lost 31-28 on the road to the Stanford Cardinal on October 23 and lost 38-14 at home to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons on October 10. The Duke Blue Devils beat the Boston College Eagles 47-2 at home on October 31, and before that beat the Virginia Cavaliers 19-16 on the road on October 23 and lost 24-20 at home to the North Carolina Tar Heels on October 17.