Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Denver Broncos visit the San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Sunday, October 4, with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET. The San Francisco 49ers arrive at 3-0, while the Denver Broncos are 2-1; both teams are coming off wins.
What the model expects
The model's likelier result is a San Francisco 49ers win, with the model giving the San Francisco 49ers 88% to win and the Denver Broncos 12%. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
The projected score is 29 for the San Francisco 49ers and 17.3 for the Denver Broncos, for 46.3 points in all. The model projects a margin of the San Francisco 49ers by 11.7 points.
Records and recent results
The San Francisco 49ers have 98 points scored and 50 allowed in 3 games; the Denver Broncos have 60 points scored and 70 allowed in 3 games. The San Francisco 49ers have the better record.
The San Francisco 49ers beat the Arizona Cardinals 36-30 at home on September 27, and before that beat the Miami Dolphins 35-13 at home on September 20. The Denver Broncos beat the Los Angeles Rams 30-26 at home on September 27, and before that beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13 at home on September 20.