Published September 29, 2026 · Updated October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Full time: Congo DR 0–2 Uganda. Read the match analysis →
Preview
Congo DR host Uganda in a friendly on Friday, October 2 at 9:00 a.m. ET. The model makes a Congo DR win the likeliest outcome, while its leading exact-score forecast is a draw.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Congo DR win (53.2%), then a draw (26.9%), then a Uganda win (19.8%), and it expects Congo DR to record 1.6 expected goals against Uganda’s 1.
The model gives over 2.5 goals at 49.2% and under 2.5 goals at 50.8%. It gives 49.7% to both teams scoring and 50.3% to at least one side failing to score. Its leading exact-score forecasts are 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 0-0 (9.3%).
Form and standings
Congo DR have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 5 games, with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their latest result was a 2-1 home defeat to Chile on June 9; they are without a win in their last 2. Their sequence, most recent first, is LDWWW.
Uganda have 3 wins and 2 defeats across their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their latest result was a 4-0 away defeat to Morocco on November 18, and their sequence, most recent first, is LWWWL.