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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat: Match Analysis & Model Review

British Virgin Islands 0-2 Montserrat in the CONCACAF Nations League, Thursday, October 1: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Montserrat beat British Virgin Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with the match finishing 0-2. The interval score was 0-2, and the goals for Montserrat had therefore all arrived by the break. British Virgin Islands scored no goals; Montserrat scored two goals, making two goals in all. The match was played at TCIFA National Academy.

The result was a 2-0 win for Montserrat over British Virgin Islands. Montserrat left with the win, while British Virgin Islands did not get on the scoresheet. The interval score shows the eventual margin was already in place before the second half; the final score confirms it held through to full time.

How it unfolded

The match stood at 0-2 at half-time. Montserrat had scored two goals by then, while British Virgin Islands had scored no goals. The final score was 0-2, so the scoreline was unchanged after the interval.

The available scores establish when the game reached the interval and where it finished, but do not establish the timing of either goal. The result was a win for Montserrat, with two goals across the match.

The numbers

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave British Virgin Islands a 5.9% chance of winning, a draw 13.9% chance and Montserrat an 80.2% chance. These probabilities are estimates of the model's view. The figures put Montserrat's win as the model's expected outcome, and the match ended in that result.

The scoring record is clear: British Virgin Islands finished without a goal, and Montserrat scored twice. The interval score and full-time score show that the scoring was complete by the break.

How the model called it

The model's pre-match favourite was Montserrat to win. It gave the actual result 80.2%, and the model's most likely outcome happened. The final score 0-2 was the model's 1st-likeliest score.

The outcome call and score ranking both aligned with the match's eventual result. Montserrat won, as the model had identified as the likeliest outcome before kickoff.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat

Thu, Oct 1 · 3:00 PM ET · TCIFA National Academy

Full time

0–2

Half-time 0–2

The model before the game

British Virgin Islands
5.9%
Draw
13.9%
Montserrat
80.2%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

Open the Match Center

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