Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Auburn Tigers visit the Tennessee Volunteers in college football on Saturday, October 3, with kickoff at 3:30 p.m. ET. The teams share a 3-1 record, but their latest results differ: the Tennessee Volunteers lost to Texas, while the Auburn Tigers beat Vanderbilt. The model's likelier result is a Tennessee Volunteers win.
What the model expects
The model gives the Tennessee Volunteers 88% to win and the Auburn Tigers 12%. These are estimates, not certainties. The model's likelier result is a Tennessee Volunteers win.
The projected score is Tennessee Volunteers 34.2, Auburn Tigers 19, with 53.2 points in all. The model projects a margin of the Tennessee Volunteers by 15.2 points. Its win estimate is at 88%, the model's stated ceiling.
Records and recent results
The Tennessee Volunteers are 3-1 overall this season, with 160 points scored and 62 allowed in 4 games. The Auburn Tigers are 3-1 overall, with 120 points scored and 83 allowed in 4 games. The two sides have the same record.
The Tennessee Volunteers lost 20-17 at home to the Texas Longhorns on September 26, and before that beat the Kennesaw State Owls 42-9 at home on September 19. The Tennessee Volunteers followed their win over Kennesaw State with the loss to Texas. The Auburn Tigers beat the Vanderbilt Commodores 21-15 at home on September 26, and before that lost 44-39 at home to the Florida Gators on September 19. The Auburn Tigers followed their loss to Florida with the win over Vanderbilt. The latest result was a loss for the Tennessee Volunteers and a win for the Auburn Tigers; their preceding results were wins for the Tennessee Volunteers and losses for the Auburn Tigers.