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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

Research workspace

Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar: Match Analysis & Model Review

Ararat-Armenia 0-4 AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 22: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

AZ Alkmaar’s win over Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League ended 0-4. The result was already 0-2 at the interval, and AZ Alkmaar finished with four goals while Ararat-Armenia had no goals. The final margin makes the outcome emphatic; the scoreline also records a match in which only AZ Alkmaar found the net.

For Ararat-Armenia, the defeat meant the match ended without a goal of their own. AZ Alkmaar converted the result into a clear win, with the difference between the sides visible in both the half-time score and the final score. The numbers establish that the advantage was present by the interval and remained at the finish, without specifying how the goals were scored or when they arrived.

The match was played at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium on Thursday, October 22. The result gives the contest a straightforward headline: AZ Alkmaar won, Ararat-Armenia did not score, and the final score was 0-4. Nothing in the available match facts points to a more detailed account of the goals, so the score itself is the clearest measure of how the game ended.

How it unfolded

At half-time, the score was 0-2, with AZ Alkmaar ahead and Ararat-Armenia yet to score. The final score was 0-4. AZ Alkmaar finished with four goals; Ararat-Armenia finished with no goals. The score confirms that AZ Alkmaar extended its advantage after the interval, but the exact timing and sequence of the goals are not specified.

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The numbers

The match produced four goals in all. Ararat-Armenia scored no goals, while AZ Alkmaar scored four goals. Those figures describe a clean-sheet win for AZ Alkmaar and account for the final margin. The half-time score, 0-2, shows that AZ Alkmaar had established a lead before the break; the full-time score records the completed result.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Ararat-Armenia a win probability of 19.5%, a draw probability of 23.7% and an AZ Alkmaar win probability of 56.8%. These probabilities are estimates. The model’s most likely outcome was AZ Alkmaar to win, and it gave the actual result 56.8%. The model's most likely outcome happened. The forecast therefore identified AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner, and the match finished with an AZ Alkmaar victory. The result aligned with the model’s pre-match call, while the scoreline supplies the detail of how decisively the match ended.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar

Thu, Oct 22 · 12:45 PM ET · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Full time

0–4

Half-time 0–2

The model before the game

Ararat-Armenia
19.5%
Draw
23.7%
AZ Alkmaar
56.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

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