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GOALORITHM / FTB

Preview · Friendlies

Research workspace

Algeria vs Niger Prediction & Preview (October 6)

Algeria vs Niger in a friendly, Tuesday, October 6. Goalorithm's model makes Algeria win the most likely result at 75.6%. Form, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Preview

Algeria host Niger in a friendly on Tuesday, October 6 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The model expects a home win, while the most recent meeting between the sides finished goalless. Recent form also sets a clear contrast: Algeria arrive after a strong sequence, and Niger have not won in their listed run.

The latest results were a 4-0 away win against Bolivia on June 10 and a 1-0 home defeat to Mauritania on June 8. They provide context for the fixture, but the model’s forecast is specific to this match. Its view gives Algeria a strong chance of winning, while keeping a draw and a Niger victory in the outcomes.

What the model expects

The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are an Algeria win (75.6%), then a draw (18.8%), then a Niger win (5.7%). These probabilities are estimates. Its likeliest result is an Algeria win, and its stated lean is Algeria to win. The forecast therefore points toward a home win, with a draw and an away win also represented.

For goals, the model gives under 2.5 goals at 58.7% and over 2.5 goals at 41.3%. It puts both teams scoring at 20%, and at least one side failing to score at 80%. Its expected-goals figures are Algeria 2 and Niger 0.2, pointing to more of the projected scoring from Algeria.

The likeliest exact scores are 1-0 (21%), 2-0 (19.5%) and 0-0 (14.1%). The score forecasts include a narrow home win, a home win with a larger margin, and a goalless draw. That range reflects the model’s preference for a home victory without ruling out a level result.

Form and standings

More soccer news

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Algeria’s recent sequence is WWDWW, amounting to 4 wins and 1 draw, with 14 goals scored and 0 conceded. The latest entry is a 4-0 away win against Bolivia on June 10, and the current run is 2 wins in a row. The results and goal record give the model’s home-win forecast a strong recent-form backdrop.

Niger’s sequence is LDLDD, with 3 draws and 2 defeats and 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their latest match was a 1-0 home defeat to Mauritania on June 8; the current run is without a win in their last 5. The listed results include draws and defeats, and the goal figures show a modest return in attack. That is the recent record Niger bring into a match where the model projects a limited scoring contribution from them.

Team news

No team news is on file yet, and line-ups are not announced.

Head to head

Across the last 6 meetings, Algeria won 5, Niger won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent meeting was Algeria 0-0 Niger (August 2025), a goalless draw. The historical record points to repeated Algeria wins, while the latest encounter ended without a winner; the model’s forecast for this fixture is its own assessment rather than a replay of that result.

What to watch

The key question is whether Algeria can turn the model’s projected scoring edge into the home win it expects. The score forecasts include outcomes with Niger failing to score, while the draw remains part of the model’s outlook. For Niger, the challenge is to change the pattern of their recent results; for Algeria, the focus is extending a positive run into this fixture.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Algeria vs Niger

Tue, Oct 6 · 3:30 PM ET

Goalorithm's model

Algeria
75.6%
Draw
18.8%
Niger
5.7%
Over 2.5 goals
41.3%
Both teams score
20%

Likeliest scores

  • 1–0 21%
  • 2–0 19.5%
  • 0–0 14.1%
Open the Match Center

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