Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

NFL

GamesPredictionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue Scan

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Gridiron intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

NFL

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

Research workspace

Alabama Crimson Tide 56-23 Mississippi State Bulldogs: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 56-23 win for the Alabama Crimson Tide over the Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football, Saturday, October 3: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / NFL & college / Game analysis

Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Alabama Crimson Tide beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 56-23 in college football on Saturday, October 3. The Alabama Crimson Tide gained 483 total yards, including 179 rushing yards, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs had 302 total yards and 18 rushing yards.

The numbers

The Alabama Crimson Tide had 304 net passing yards and 179 rushing yards; the Mississippi State Bulldogs had 284 net passing yards and 18 rushing yards. The Alabama Crimson Tide recorded 22 first downs, possessed the ball for 34:41 and converted 66.7% of third downs. The Mississippi State Bulldogs had 21 first downs, possessed the ball for 25:19 and converted 41.2% of third downs. The Mississippi State Bulldogs had 4 turnovers, while the Alabama Crimson Tide had 2.

Top performers

For the Mississippi State Bulldogs, Kamario Taylor completed 19 of 34 passes for 258 yards, with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, while Kolin Wilson ran for 27 yards on 10 carries. Anthony Evans III caught 12 passes for 166 yards, with 2 touchdowns; Kalvin Dinkins had a sack, and Kyle Ferrie made 1 of 1 field goals.

More NFL & college football news

All news →

American footballPreview· college football

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers Prediction & Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction & Preview

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Alabama Crimson Tide, Keelon Russell completed 16 of 22 passes for 285 yards, with 3 touchdowns, while Trae'shawn Brown ran for 66 yards on 14 carries, with 2 touchdowns. Lotzeir Brooks caught 4 passes for 96 yards; Dijon Lee Jr. had an interception. For the Alabama Crimson Tide, Dijon Lee Jr. returned an interception for a touchdown.

How the model called it

The model’s pregame estimates gave the Mississippi State Bulldogs 48.8% to win and the Alabama Crimson Tide 51.2%. The model’s favorite was the Alabama Crimson Tide to win, and the model's favorite won. The model had the Alabama Crimson Tide by 0.3 points, and they won by 33 points, more than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET

Final

23–56

The model before the game

Mississippi State Bulldogs
48.8%
Alabama Crimson Tide
51.2%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Mississippi State BulldogsStatisticAlabama Crimson Tide
4turnovers2
21first downs22
302total yards483
18rushing yards179
284net passing yards304
25:19time of possession34:41
41.2%third-down conversion rate66.7%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Liberty Flames win the likelier result at 78.7%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Preview

South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a South Florida Bulls win the likelier result at 73.8%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET