15 of 31 matches on Fri 25 Sep are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers; 15 are priced by the bookmakers; 1 has no prediction yet. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 17 of 30 matches.
Upset: Georgia were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Italy were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Hungary were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Poland were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Brazil were the bookmakers' 76% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Panama were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Tanzania were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 0–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Senegal were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and drew 1–1.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Burkina Faso were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Egypt were the bookmakers' 68% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Bermuda were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 1–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: St. Lucia were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Honduras were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 2–3.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Scores updated 5:33 AM EST
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 328 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (4).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 105 of 140 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.