12 of 28 matches on Thu 24 Sep are priced by the bookmakers; 9 are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers; 7 have no prediction yet. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Turkmenistan v New Zealand (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 15 of 21 matches.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Germany were the bookmakers' 39% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Libya were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and drew 2–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Sierra Leone were the bookmakers' 36% favourites and lost 2–3.
Upset: Tunisia were the bookmakers' 67% favourites and drew 1–1.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Dominica were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Costa Rica were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and lost 3–4.
Scores updated 6:20 AM EST
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 328 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (4).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 105 of 140 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.