Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 7 of 12 games.
Upset: the Chicago White Sox were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 3–9.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Minnesota Timberwolves were the bookmakers' 55% favourites and lost 112–123.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Oklahoma City Thunder were the bookmakers' 80% favourites and lost 126–128.
Upset: the Phoenix Suns were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 117–124.
Upset: the New York Yankees were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and lost 3–4.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 371, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 55% of 33, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).