Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 22 of 33 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: China were the bookmakers' 54% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Kazakhstan were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Russia were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and drew 3–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Jordan were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Finland were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Iceland were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Luxembourg were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Scotland were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: the Charlotte Hornets were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and lost 90–124.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Vancouver Whitecaps were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 1–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Mexico were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 371, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 55% of 33, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).