Published October 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB on Saturday, October 31, with first pitch at 8:00 p.m. ET. This is a postseason game.
What the model expects
The model’s likelier result is a Milwaukee Brewers win, at 62%. Its probabilities are estimates, not certainties: it gives the Milwaukee Brewers 62% and the Tampa Bay Rays 38%.
The model projects 4.8 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers and 4 for the Tampa Bay Rays, 8.8 in all. The model gives the Milwaukee Brewers a 41.5% chance of winning by two runs or more, and the Tampa Bay Rays a 24.2% chance.
Form and standings
The Milwaukee Brewers finished the regular season at 103-59, with a run differential of +214 and 832 runs scored and 618 allowed. The Tampa Bay Rays finished at 98-64, with a run differential of +86 and 736 runs scored and 650 allowed; the Milwaukee Brewers have the better record.
The Milwaukee Brewers went 3-0 in their last 3 games, with 18 runs scored and 7 allowed, and are on at least 3 straight wins. Their latest result was a 10-1 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays on October 26. The Tampa Bay Rays went 0-3 in their last 3 games, with 7 runs scored and 18 allowed, and are on at least 3 straight losses; their latest result was a 10-1 home loss to the Milwaukee Brewers on October 26.