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Game analysis · college football

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Michigan Wolverines 28-21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 28-21 win for the Michigan Wolverines over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Michigan Wolverines beat the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 28-21 in college football on Saturday, October 31. Michigan finished with 427 total yards, while Rutgers had 249; the Wolverines also converted 75% of their third downs. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights had no turnovers, but the Michigan Wolverines left with the win by seven points.

The numbers

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights finished with 249 total yards, including 123 net passing yards and 126 rushing yards. The Michigan Wolverines had 427 total yards, with 266 net passing yards and 161 rushing yards. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights had 0 turnovers and 9 first downs; the Michigan Wolverines had 0 turnovers and 23 first downs.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights possessed the ball for 20:54 and converted 30% of their third downs. The Michigan Wolverines had possession for 39:06 and converted 75%.

Top performers

Rutgers Scarlet Knights quarterback AJ Surace completed 3 of 12 passes for 123 yards, with a touchdown. Running back Antwan Raymond ran for 85 yards on 11 carries, and receiver Jourdin Houston caught 1 pass for 80 yards, with a touchdown. Defensive standout Sekou Kromah had a sack; kicker Dane Pizzaro made 2 of 2 field goals.

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Army Black Knights at Memphis Tigers in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a Memphis Tigers win the likelier result at 57%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 8:00 PM ET

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Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Prediction & Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a Boise State Broncos win the likelier result at 76%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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Michigan Wolverines quarterback Tommy Carr completed 22 of 27 passes for 266 yards, with a touchdown. Running back Savion Hiter ran for 76 yards on 20 carries, and receiver JJ Buchanan caught 5 passes for 63 yards, with a touchdown. Defensive standout Chris Bracy had a sack; kicker Trey Butkowski made 0 of 2 field goals.

How the model called it

Goalorithm's pregame chances were 34.6% for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and 65.4% for the Michigan Wolverines; these were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Michigan Wolverines to win, and the model's favorite won. The model had the Michigan Wolverines by 5.2 points, and they won by seven points, more than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Michigan Wolverines

Sat, Oct 31 · 12:30 PM ET

Final

21–28

The model before the game

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
34.6%
Michigan Wolverines
65.4%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Rutgers Scarlet KnightsStatisticMichigan Wolverines
0turnovers0
9first downs23
249total yards427
126rushing yards161
123net passing yards266
20:54time of possession39:06
30%third-down conversion rate75%
Open the Game Center

Sat, Oct 31 · 10:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Northern Illinois Huskies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction & Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at UNLV Rebels in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a UNLV Rebels win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 10:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

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Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips in college football, Tuesday, November 3. Goalorithm's model makes an Ohio Bobcats win the likelier result at 87%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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