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Game analysis · college football

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TCU Horned Frogs 22-16 Kansas Jayhawks: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 22-16 win for the TCU Horned Frogs over the Kansas Jayhawks in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The TCU Horned Frogs beat the Kansas Jayhawks 22-16 in college football on Saturday, October 31. TCU Horned Frogs turned an interception into a touchdown, while Kansas Jayhawks finished with more total yards.

The numbers

TCU Horned Frogs gained 286 yards, including 141 net passing yards and 145 rushing yards; Kansas Jayhawks gained 451, with 285 net passing yards and 166 rushing yards. TCU Horned Frogs had 1 turnover and Kansas Jayhawks had 2; TCU Horned Frogs recorded 19 first downs and Kansas Jayhawks had 20.

TCU Horned Frogs held the ball for 21:03, and Kansas Jayhawks for 38:57. TCU Horned Frogs converted 35.7% of third downs, while Kansas Jayhawks converted 35%.

Top performers

For TCU Horned Frogs, Jaden Craig completed 13 of 29 passes for 141 yards and Jaden Craig ran for 87 yards on 15 carries, with a touchdown. Kari Ashley caught 3 passes for 50 yards; Max Carroll had an interception and Max Carroll returned an interception for a touchdown.

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American footballPreview· college football

Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos Prediction & Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a Boise State Broncos win the likelier result at 76%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 10:00 PM ET

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Northern Illinois Huskies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction & Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at UNLV Rebels in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a UNLV Rebels win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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For Kansas Jayhawks, Cole Ballard completed 20 of 35 passes for 285 yards, with a touchdown and an interception and Keaton Kubecka ran for 58 yards on 3 carries. Nahzae Cox caught 5 passes for 145 yards, while Martin Connington made 3 of 4 field goals.

How the model called it

The model's pregame chances were estimates: it gave TCU Horned Frogs 73.3% and Kansas Jayhawks 26.7%. Its favorite was the TCU Horned Frogs to win, and the model's favorite won; the model had the TCU Horned Frogs by 8.1 points, and they won by six points, less than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks

Sat, Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET

Final

22–16

The model before the game

TCU Horned Frogs
73.3%
Kansas Jayhawks
26.7%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

TCU Horned FrogsStatisticKansas Jayhawks
1turnovers2
19first downs20
286total yards451
145rushing yards166
141net passing yards285
21:03time of possession38:57
35.7%third-down conversion rate35%
Open the Game Center

Sat, Oct 31 · 10:30 PM ET

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Tue, Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET

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Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET