Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Ipswich host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday, October 10 at 10:00 a.m. ET, with the sides separated in the table: Ipswich sit above Fulham. Goalorithm’s model makes an Ipswich win the likeliest result, though its outcome ordering puts all three possibilities within a relatively narrow range.
What the model expects
The model’s likeliest result is an Ipswich win. Its outcome ordering is an Ipswich win (37%), then a Fulham win (35.7%), then a draw (27.3%); the model gives them 37%, with 27.3% for a draw and 35.7% for a Fulham win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ipswich and 1.4 for Fulham.
The goals projection is over 2.5 goals at 54.3%, against under 2.5 goals at 45.7%. The model gives both teams a chance to score at 57.6%; it puts the chance of at least one side failing to score at 42.4%. Its likeliest scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The exact-score forecasts include a draw and a win for each team.
Form and standings
Ipswich’s recent sequence is LWLLW, with 2 wins and 3 defeats and 7 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their latest result was a 1-0 away defeat to Everton on September 19. Fulham’s recent sequence is DDLLL, with 2 draws and 3 defeats and 5 goals scored and 8 conceded; their latest result was a 1-1 home draw with Manchester United on September 20. Fulham are unbeaten in their last 2.
Ipswich sit 11th in Premier League with 6 points from 5 games, while Fulham sit 19th in Premier League with 2 points from 5 games. In the table, Ipswich sit above Fulham.