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Game analysis · college football

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Baylor Bears 41-9 UCF Knights: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 41-9 win for the Baylor Bears over the UCF Knights in college football, Friday, October 30: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Baylor Bears beat the UCF Knights 41-9 in college football on Friday, October 30. The Baylor Bears won by 32 points, finishing with 503 total yards to the UCF Knights’ 281.

The Baylor Bears had 0 turnovers, while the UCF Knights had 2.

The numbers

The Baylor Bears gained 319 net passing yards and 184 rushing yards. The UCF Knights had 215 net passing yards and 66 rushing yards.

The Baylor Bears recorded 19 first downs and converted 43.8% of third downs; the UCF Knights had 14 first downs and converted 13.3%. The Baylor Bears held possession for 29:08, and the UCF Knights for 30:52.

Top performers

For the Baylor Bears, DJ Lagway completed 16 of 25 passes for 319 yards, with 4 touchdowns. Gavin Freeman caught 5 passes for 114 yards, with a touchdown, and Ryelan Morris ran for 82 yards on 11 carries. On defense, Kaleb Burns had 1.5 sacks; Rhett Armstrong made 2 of 3 field goals.

For the UCF Knights, Alonza Barnett III completed 8 of 16 passes for 133 yards. Josh Derry caught 3 passes for 70 yards, and Rocco Marriott ran for 50 yards on 2 carries. On defense, Jahleel Culbreath had a sack; Will Stone made 3 of 3 field goals.

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Boston College Eagles vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction & Preview

Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a Duke Blue Devils win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET

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California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction & Preview

California Golden Bears at NC State Wolfpack in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes an NC State Wolfpack win the likelier result at 77%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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How the model called it

The model’s pregame chances were estimates: it gave the UCF Knights 39.6% to win and the Baylor Bears 60.4%. Its favorite was the Baylor Bears to win, and the model's favorite won. The model had the Baylor Bears by 3.4 points, and they won by 32 points, more than projected

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears

Fri, Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET

Final

9–41

The model before the game

UCF Knights
39.6%
Baylor Bears
60.4%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

UCF KnightsStatisticBaylor Bears
2turnovers0
14first downs19
281total yards503
66rushing yards184
215net passing yards319
30:52time of possession29:08
13.3%third-down conversion rate43.8%
Open the Game Center

Sat, Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

UAB Blazers vs South Florida Bulls Prediction & Preview (October 31)

UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes a South Florida Bulls win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction & Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins in college football, Saturday, October 31. Goalorithm's model makes an Illinois Fighting Illini win the likelier result at 61%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Sat, Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET