All 27 matches on Tue 6 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 17 of 27 matches.
Upset: Vancouver Whitecaps were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 1–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Kazakhstan were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Finland were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Iceland were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Luxembourg were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Scotland were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: China were the bookmakers' 54% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Russia were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and drew 3–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Jordan were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Mexico were the bookmakers' 59% favourites and lost 0–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Scores updated 6:43 PM EST
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 333 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (4).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 119 of 157 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.