39 of 53 matches on Sat 19 Sep have no prediction yet; 9 are priced by the bookmakers; 5 are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 4 of 9 matches.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Minnesota United FC were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 2–3.
Upset: Houston Dynamo were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and drew 2–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: FC Dallas were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Colorado Rapids were the bookmakers' 51% favourites and drew 3–3.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Portland Timbers were the bookmakers' 50% favourites and lost 0–1.
Scores updated 11:14 AM EST
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 321 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (4).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 105 of 140 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.