Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Bookmakers: no line yet
Default (home side): Villanova Wildcats 59%
Bookmakers: no line yet
Default (home side): Villanova Wildcats 59%
Bookmakers: no line yet
Boston Celtics 68% · Unvalidated estimate, not a published prediction
Bookmakers: Buffalo Bills 61%
Bookmakers: Cincinnati Bengals 82%
Bookmakers: Dallas Cowboys 73%
Bookmakers: Detroit Lions 60%
Bookmakers: New York Jets 53%
Bookmakers: Pittsburgh Steelers 63%
Bookmakers: Jacksonville Jaguars 80%
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 374, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 237, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).