Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Monza 5 out · Cagliari 3 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Cagliari 37%
Data provider's injury report: Parma 3 out · Torino 1 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Torino 40%
Data provider's injury report: Tottenham 4 out · Coventry 4 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Tottenham 58%
Data provider's injury report: Getafe 6 out · Rayo Vallecano 1 out
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).