Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream (cancelled); Las Vegas Aces @ Golden State Valkyries (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 5 of 7 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Minnesota Timberwolves were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 106–128.
Upset: the Denver Nuggets were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and lost 110–122.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).