Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty (cancelled); Golden State Valkyries @ Las Vegas Aces (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 29 of 43 games.
Upset: the Houston Rockets were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 115–132.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Como were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Celta Vigo were the bookmakers' 38% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: PEC Zwolle were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Telstar were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Nottingham Forest were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and lost 1–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: Everton were the bookmakers' 45% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: AC Milan were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: the Chicago Bears were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 7–31.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Juventus were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Racing Santander were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and drew 2–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Seattle Seahawks were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and lost 29–32.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Los Angeles Dodgers were the bookmakers' 51% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: the Atlanta Falcons were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and lost 23–30.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).