How each source has done, last 30 days

• Soccer

  Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 370, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.

• NFL/College

  Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).

• MLB

  No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 32, after their prices said 56%.

• Basketball

  No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).