Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Morocco v Ghana (cancelled); Bolivia v Gambia (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 25 of 36 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Austria were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: the Buffalo Bills were the bookmakers' 74% favourites and lost 26–29.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Cincinnati Bengals were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 17–22.
Upset: the Arizona Cardinals were the bookmakers' 55% favourites and lost 24–36.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Houston Texans were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 30–34.
Upset: Egypt were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Germany were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and drew 0–0.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Rep. Of Ireland were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Curaçao were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: wrong
Upset: the Los Angeles Dodgers were the bookmakers' 65% favourites and lost 2–3.
Upset: the Detroit Lions were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and lost 26–32.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 371, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 32, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).