Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 9 of 14 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Buffalo Bills were the bookmakers' 74% favourites and lost 26–29.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Cincinnati Bengals were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 17–22.
Upset: the Arizona Cardinals were the bookmakers' 55% favourites and lost 24–36.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Houston Texans were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 30–34.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Detroit Lions were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and lost 26–32.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 370, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 32, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).