Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Detroit Pistons @ Connecticut Sun (cancelled); Miami Heat @ Las Vegas Aces (cancelled)
The bookmakers' favourite won 12 of 32 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Napoli were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and drew 1–1.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: PSV Eindhoven were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 2–3.
Upset: Norwich were the bookmakers' 67% favourites and lost 3–4.
Upset: Como were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 0–2.
Upset: Genoa were the bookmakers' 37% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: Stade Brestois 29 were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and lost 1–2.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Leeds were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Real Madrid were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: Estrela were the bookmakers' 45% favourites and lost 0–2.
Upset: Vitória SC were the bookmakers' 67% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: NEC Nijmegen were the bookmakers' 45% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: Lille were the bookmakers' 44% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: Manchester United were the bookmakers' 47% favourites and drew 1–1.
Upset: FC Schalke 04 were the bookmakers' 50% favourites and drew 0–0.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Real Betis were the bookmakers' 48% favourites and drew 1–1.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Estoril were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 1–2.
Upset: SC Braga were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and drew 0–0.
Upset: 1899 Hoffenheim were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 1–3.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: Benfica were the bookmakers' 40% favourites and lost 1–3.
Upset: Inter Miami were the bookmakers' 66% favourites and drew 2–2.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 368, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 243, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 53% of 30, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (17).