Published October 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The South Florida Bulls visit the East Carolina Pirates in college football on Friday, November 6, with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. The model gives the South Florida Bulls the likelier result, while the East Carolina Pirates enter the matchup after a loss in their latest game.
What the model expects
The model's win probabilities are estimates: it gives the East Carolina Pirates 23.8% and the South Florida Bulls 76.2%. It projects 18.6 points for the East Carolina Pirates and 27.9 for the South Florida Bulls, with 46.5 in all; the projected margin is the South Florida Bulls by 9.3 points.
Records and recent results
The East Carolina Pirates are 3-4 overall this season, with 175 points scored and 184 allowed in 7 games. The South Florida Bulls are 5-2, with 186 points scored and 106 allowed in 7 games; the South Florida Bulls have the better record.
The East Carolina Pirates lost 41-34 on the road to the Memphis Tigers on October 22, and before that lost 30-17 on the road to the UAB Blazers on October 15 and beat the Rice Owls 28-12 at home on October 10. The South Florida Bulls beat the Kent State Golden Flashes 29-2 at home on October 17, and before that lost 31-24 on the road to the UTSA Roadrunners on October 8 and lost 17-13 at home to the Temple Owls on October 3.