Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Orlando City SC host DC United in Major League Soccer on Saturday, October 17, with kick-off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The model's likeliest result is an Orlando City SC win, though its forecast also gives weight to a draw and a DC United win. The probabilities are estimates. The model's outcomes, from likeliest down, are an Orlando City SC win (52.3%), then a DC United win (24.8%), then a draw (22.9%).
What the model expects
The model expects 1.7 goals for Orlando City SC and 1.4 for DC United. Its goals figures are over 2.5 goals at 59.4% and under 2.5 goals at 40.6%; it gives both teams scoring 61.1%, against 38.9% for at least one side to fail to score. That points to a match where goals at both ends are a prominent possibility, while the model also allows for one side to be kept scoreless.
The likeliest exact score is 1-1 (11.7%), with 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7%) next. The leading score prediction is level, while the other listed outcomes give Orlando City SC or DC United the win. No exact score dominates the forecast: the model's result probabilities include all three outcomes.
Form and standings
Orlando City SC arrive unbeaten in their last 2 after a 3-3 away draw with Toronto FC on October 14. Their last 5 results read DWLLW, amounting to 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded. The latest outing was a high-scoring draw, and the recent goal totals show the same number scored as conceded. That run combines wins, a draw and defeats, rather than a sequence of one result type.