Published October 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The New Mexico Lobos visit the Nevada Wolf Pack in college football on Friday, November 6, with kickoff at 9:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model makes the New Mexico Lobos the likelier winner, while the Nevada Wolf Pack come off a home win in their latest result.
What the model expects
The model’s estimates give the Nevada Wolf Pack 12% to win and the New Mexico Lobos 88%. Its likelier result is a New Mexico Lobos win.
The projected score is 16.5 for the Nevada Wolf Pack and 31.8 for the New Mexico Lobos, with 48.3 points in all. The projected margin is the New Mexico Lobos by 15.3 points.
Records and recent results
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-4 overall this season, with 184 points scored and 154 allowed in 7 games. The New Mexico Lobos are 6-1, with 259 points scored and 79 allowed in 7 games; the New Mexico Lobos have the better record.
The Nevada Wolf Pack beat the San José State Spartans 28-13 at home on October 24, and before that lost 31-17 on the road to the North Dakota State Bison on October 17 and beat the UTEP Miners 30-13 on the road on October 10.
The New Mexico Lobos beat the North Dakota State Bison 21-16 at home on October 24, and before that beat the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 21-10 on the road on October 17 and beat the UTEP Miners 61-7 at home on October 3.