Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones visit the Baylor Bears in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 12:00 a.m. ET. Baylor’s latest result was a road win, while Iowa State’s latest was a road loss.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s model gives the Baylor Bears 88% to win and the Iowa State Cyclones 12%. These are estimates, not certainties; the model’s likelier result is a Baylor Bears win.
The projection is 31.6 points for the Baylor Bears and 16.4 for the Iowa State Cyclones, 48 in all. Its projected margin is the Baylor Bears by 15.2 points.
Records and recent results
The Baylor Bears are 5-3 overall, with 245 points scored and 122 allowed in 8 games; the Iowa State Cyclones are 3-4, with 181 points scored and 169 allowed in 7 games. The Baylor Bears have the better record.
The Baylor Bears beat the UCF Knights 41-9 on the road on October 30, and before that lost 25-24 on the road to the Kansas Jayhawks on October 24 and lost 17-6 at home to the TCU Horned Frogs on October 17.
The Iowa State Cyclones lost 39-3 on the road to the Arizona Wildcats on October 24, and before that lost 24-10 on the road to the BYU Cougars on October 9 and beat the West Virginia Mountaineers 45-42 at home on October 3.