2 of 3 matches on Sun 4 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers; 1 is priced by our model. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Called off: Morocco v Ghana (cancelled); Bolivia v Gambia (cancelled)
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Egypt were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 0–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Scores updated 8:53 PM EST
For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 328 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (4).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 105 of 140 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.