Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 31 of 44 games.
Upset: the Texas Tech Red Raiders were the bookmakers' 79% favourites and lost 24–37.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the TCU Horned Frogs were the bookmakers' 77% favourites and lost 20–24.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Oregon Ducks were the bookmakers' 77% favourites and lost 10–21.
Upset: the BYU Cougars were the bookmakers' 72% favourites and lost 31–39.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Iowa Hawkeyes were the bookmakers' 71% favourites and lost 10–13.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets were the bookmakers' 68% favourites and lost 27–49.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Kansas State Wildcats were the bookmakers' 52% favourites and lost 17–28.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Troy Trojans were the bookmakers' 83% favourites and lost 14–21.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns were the bookmakers' 79% favourites and lost 31–35.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Clemson Tigers were the bookmakers' 58% favourites and lost 16–20.
Upset: the Georgia State Panthers were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 32–38.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the USC Trojans were the bookmakers' 54% favourites and lost 7–24.
Upset: the North Carolina Tar Heels were the bookmakers' 75% favourites and lost 30–31.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 373, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).