Today: Every Game, Every Source Named

Gridiron intelligence

Today

NFL

Today

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

Finished12

The bookmakers' favourite won 6 of 11 games.

FinalNFL
Houston Texans34Jacksonville Jaguars31
Upset: the Jacksonville Jaguars were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 31–34.
FinalNFL
Chicago Bears31Atlanta Falcons23
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Baltimore Ravens10Cleveland Browns13
Upset: the Baltimore Ravens were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and lost 10–13.
FinalNFL
Tennessee Titans26Indianapolis Colts20
Upset: the Indianapolis Colts were the bookmakers' 72% favourites and lost 20–26.
FinalNFL
New York Jets19New England Patriots26
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
New Orleans Saints34New York Giants27
Upset: the New York Giants were the bookmakers' 50% favourites and lost 27–34.
FinalNFL
Carolina Panthers25Philadelphia Eagles14
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Pittsburgh Steelers26Tampa Bay Buccaneers19
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Arizona Cardinals18Los Angeles Rams16
Upset: the Los Angeles Rams were the bookmakers' 84% favourites and lost 16–18.
FinalNFL
Los Angeles Chargers6Kansas City Chiefs22
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Buffalo Bills33Las Vegas Raiders30
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Dallas Cowboys13Green Bay Packers23

Gridiron intelligence

Today

NFL

Today

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

The bookmakers' favourite won 6 of 11 games.

FinalNFL
Houston Texans34Jacksonville Jaguars31
Upset: the Jacksonville Jaguars were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 31–34.
FinalNFL
Chicago Bears31Atlanta Falcons23
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Baltimore Ravens10Cleveland Browns13
Upset: the Baltimore Ravens were the bookmakers' 60% favourites and lost 10–13.
FinalNFL
Tennessee Titans26Indianapolis Colts20
Upset: the Indianapolis Colts were the bookmakers' 72% favourites and lost 20–26.
FinalNFL
New York Jets19New England Patriots26
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
New Orleans Saints34New York Giants27
Upset: the New York Giants were the bookmakers' 50% favourites and lost 27–34.
FinalNFL
Carolina Panthers25Philadelphia Eagles14
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Pittsburgh Steelers26Tampa Bay Buccaneers19
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Arizona Cardinals18Los Angeles Rams16
Upset: the Los Angeles Rams were the bookmakers' 84% favourites and lost 16–18.
FinalNFL
Los Angeles Chargers6Kansas City Chiefs22
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Buffalo Bills33Las Vegas Raiders30
The bookmakers' favourite won.
FinalNFL
Dallas Cowboys13Green Bay Packers23

All 12 games on Sun 18 Oct are priced by the bookmakers.

How each source has done, last 30 days

Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade