Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 6 of 12 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Philadelphia 76ers were the bookmakers' 77% favourites and lost 120–125.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Indiana Pacers were the bookmakers' 72% favourites and lost 127–128.
Upset: the Dallas Mavericks were the bookmakers' 51% favourites and lost 111–135.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Portland Trail Blazers were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 118–128.
Upset: the Phoenix Suns were the bookmakers' 62% favourites and lost 116–119.
Upset: the Los Angeles Lakers were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and lost 106–121.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).