Today: Every Game, Every Source Named

Match intelligence

Today

Football

Today

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

Finished5

The bookmakers' favourite won 2 of 4 matches.

FinalSerie A
Atalanta3Venezia1
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
FinalSerie A
Torino2Udinese1
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
FinalPremier League
Coventry4Newcastle1
Upset: Newcastle were the bookmakers' 45% favourites and lost 1–4.
Our blend's call: wrong
FinalLa Liga
Levante3Sevilla3
The bookmakers had no favourite at the close.
Our blend's call: wrong
FinalPrimeira Liga
Famalicao1Alverca4
Upset: Famalicao were the bookmakers' 49% favourites and lost 1–4.
Our blend's call: wrong

Whose numbers these are

All 5 matches on Mon 12 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers.

How each source has done, last 30 days

Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 372, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

See how each source has done on the track record