Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won 29 of 44 games.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Pittsburgh Panthers were the bookmakers' 61% favourites and lost 17–21.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Florida Gators were the bookmakers' 79% favourites and lost 19–38.
Upset: the App State Mountaineers were the bookmakers' 75% favourites and lost 3–10.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Texas Longhorns were the bookmakers' 74% favourites and lost 24–27.
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Oregon Ducks were the bookmakers' 77% favourites and lost 15–17.
Upset: the Kansas State Wildcats were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 16–35.
Upset: the Duke Blue Devils were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 25–28.
Upset: the Virginia Tech Hokies were the bookmakers' 77% favourites and lost 20–25.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Toledo Rockets were the bookmakers' 88% favourites and lost 8–23.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Temple Owls were the bookmakers' 62% favourites and lost 20–34.
Our model's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the LSU Tigers were the bookmakers' 75% favourites and lost 34–35.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the North Dakota State Bison were the bookmakers' 54% favourites and lost 7–13.
Upset: the Marshall Thundering Herd were the bookmakers' 64% favourites and lost 21–27.
Upset: the Alabama Crimson Tide were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and lost 17–20.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Upset: the Minnesota Golden Gophers were the bookmakers' 56% favourites and lost 13–41.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
The bookmakers' favourite won.
How each source has done, last 30 days
Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 371, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).